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The UK Parliament votes on Brexit - Tuesday 15 January 2018 - 7pm
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<blockquote data-quote="Jaysen" data-source="post: 7589" data-attributes="member: 1"><p>Hi All,</p><p></p><p>I found this excellent post from <u><a href="https://www.reddit.com/r/europe/comments/afytwt/the_uk_parliament_votes_on_the_brexit_deal/" target="_blank">Reddit</a> </u>(as you do), which I've shared below, it should bring you up to speed on the Brexit vote today. If you are free tonight, I encourage you to watch the vote take place (you can use one of the links below). Beyond being useful for your commercial awareness, it's a pretty historic event.</p><p></p><p>Feel free to post any comments in this thread.</p><p></p><p><strong><u>The UK Parliament votes on the Brexit Deal - Megathread</u></strong></p><p></p><p><strong>Background</strong>:</p><p></p><p>On June 23, 2016 the <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2016_United_Kingdom_European_Union_membership_referendum" target="_blank">UK voted to leave the EU</a> ('Brexit'). Following the vote, British Prime Minister <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/David_Cameron" target="_blank">David Cameron</a>, who campaigned in favour of the UK remaining part of the EU, resigned and <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Theresa_May" target="_blank">Theresa May</a>, who also was a remainer, followed him as PM. The British government submitted an <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Withdrawal_from_the_European_Union" target="_blank">Art. 50</a> withdrawal notice to the EU on March 29, 2017. Between that date and November 2018, the EU negotiators and the UK worked out a <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Brexit_negotiations" target="_blank">"Brexit deal"</a>. This deal is up for a vote on Tuesday.</p><p></p><p><strong>The vote TODAY:</strong></p><p></p><p>The vote will take place on Tuesday, January 15th, 7 pm GMT <strong> (now 8pm GMT) </strong>in the House of Commons. Theresa May meant to bring this agreement to a vote in early December, but postponed the vote since she knew the deal would not get a majority.</p><p></p><p><strong>Possible outcomes:</strong></p><ul> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">The Brexit deal passes in parliament: The negotiated Brexit agreement will be accepted, the UK will leave the EU on March 29, 2019. It will be followed by a so-called "transition period" that will last until December 31, 2020. During that time, the UK will remain part of the single market and the customs union and it will be bound by EU legislation while itself can no longer influence EU policy. The transition period is meant to allow for a smooth transition while giving time to legislators and negotiation teams to work out a lot of issues that either have not been agreed on in the brexit deal (both sides deem a future trade agreement between the UK and the EU to be a top priority) or haven't been part of legislative efforts yet (the UK follows EU regulation instead of national law in many areas of life).<br /> <br /> </li> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">The Brexit deal fails to reach a majority: The outcome of this scenario is entirely unclear. In terms of political consequences, possible that Theresa May could be replaced as PM in this scenario, although the technicalities are unclear. She could resign, be forced to resign, Labour plans to <a href="https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2019/jan/13/corbyn-promises-no-confidence-motion-against-may-soon" target="_blank">bring on a motion of no confidence</a>. It is entirely unclear what the "Brexit consequences" would be. It could lead to the UK leaving the EU on March 29 without any deal or transition period ("Hard Brexit). Another possibility is a second referendum on Brexit. The EU has stated that they are willing to agree to an extension to the leave date, but only under certain conditions (helping the UK government secure support for the deal, potentially a second referendum). The third option is Westminster voting to withdraw from Art. 50, effectively cancelling Brexit, this is rather unlikely however.</li> </ul><p><strong>Live Streams:</strong></p><p></p><p><a href="https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/live/46874049" target="_blank"><u><span style="color: #003366">BBC Live Stream</span></u></a></p><p></p><p><a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=65Nt-ByDGEM" target="_blank"><u><span style="color: #003366">UK Parliament Live Stream</span></u></a></p><p></p><p><strong><span style="color: #000000">Live Articles:</span></strong></p><p></p><p><a href="https://edition.cnn.com/uk/live-news/brexit-theresa-may-deal-vote-gbr-intl/index.html" target="_blank"><u><span style="color: #003366">CNN</span></u></a></p><p></p><p><a href="https://www.theguardian.com/politics/live/2019/jan/15/brexit-vote-parliament-latest-news-may-corbyn-gove-tells-tories-they-can-improve-outcome-if-mays-deal-passed-politics-live" target="_blank"><u><span style="color: #003366">The Guardian</span></u></a></p><p></p><p><a href="https://www.heraldscotland.com/news/17359360.brexit-vote-live-theresa-may-braced-for-commons-defeat/" target="_blank"><u><span style="color: #003366">The Herald Scotland</span></u></a></p><p></p><p><a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2019/01/15/world/europe/brexit-vote.html" target="_blank"><u><span style="color: #003366">The New York Times</span></u></a></p><p></p><p><a href="https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2019/01/15/brexit-vote-latest-news-parliament-result-deal-theresa-may-commons/" target="_blank"><u><span style="color: #003366">The Telegraph</span></u></a></p><p></p><p><strong>Live Articles for Monday, January 15</strong></p><p></p><p><a href="https://www.theguardian.com/politics/blog/live/2019/jan/14/brexit-latest-news-theresa-may-speech-liam-fox-claims-no-deal-survivable-as-may-launches-last-minute-bid-to-rescue-her-deal-politics-live" target="_blank"><u><span style="color: #003366">The Guardian: Brexit: Theresa May urges MPs to 'take a second look' at her deal – Politics live</span></u></a></p><p><u><span style="color: #003366"></span></u></p><p><u><span style="color: #003366"><a href="https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2019/01/14/brexit-vote-latest-news-theresa-may-set-last-ditch-plea-mps/" target="_blank">The Telegraph: Brexit vote latest news: Theresa May pleads with MPs to 'take a second look' at her deal as Jeremy Corbyn calls for an election</a> (soft Paywall)</span></u></p><p></p><p><span style="color: #000000"><strong>Background articles:</strong></span></p><p></p><p><a href="https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-politics-46856149" target="_blank"><u><span style="color: #003366">BBC: May says opponents of Brexit deal risk 'letting British people down'</span></u></a></p><p></p><p><a href="https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-politics-46507010" target="_blank"><u><span style="color: #003366">BBC: Possible amendments to PM's Brexit deal</span></u></a></p><p></p><p><a href="https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-politics-46586673" target="_blank"><u><span style="color: #003366">BBC: Theresa May sets January date for MPs' Brexit vote</span></u></a></p><p></p><p><a href="https://www.cnbc.com/2019/01/11/brexit-vote-parliament-set-to-decide-outcome-of-mays-withdrawal-deal.html" target="_blank"><u><span style="color: #003366">CNBC: A crunch Brexit vote is coming that could trigger even more political chaos</span></u></a></p><p><u><span style="color: #003366"></span></u></p><p><u><span style="color: #003366"><a href="https://www.ft.com/content/8633d73a-17fa-11e9-9e64-d150b3105d21" target="_blank">Financial Times: How big will Theresa May’s defeat be?</a> (Paywall)</span></u></p><p><u><span style="color: #003366"></span></u></p><p><a href="https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2019/jan/14/may-makes-final-case-for-brexit-deal-dont-let-the-people-down" target="_blank"><u><span style="color: #003366">The Guardian: May makes final case for Brexit deal: 'Don't let the people down'</span></u></a></p><p></p><p><a href="https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2019/jan/13/what-does-the-week-ahead-hold-for-the-brexit-debate" target="_blank"><u><span style="color: #003366">The Guardian: What does the week ahead hold for the Brexit debate?</span></u></a></p><p></p><p><a href="https://www.irishtimes.com/news/politics/nobody-can-say-with-confidence-what-way-tuesday-s-brexit-vote-will-go-1.3755094" target="_blank"><u><span style="color: #003366">The Irish Times: Nobody can say with confidence what way Tuesday’s Brexit vote will go</span></u></a></p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="Jaysen, post: 7589, member: 1"] Hi All, I found this excellent post from [U][URL='https://www.reddit.com/r/europe/comments/afytwt/the_uk_parliament_votes_on_the_brexit_deal/']Reddit[/URL] [/U](as you do), which I've shared below, it should bring you up to speed on the Brexit vote today. If you are free tonight, I encourage you to watch the vote take place (you can use one of the links below). Beyond being useful for your commercial awareness, it's a pretty historic event. Feel free to post any comments in this thread. [B][U]The UK Parliament votes on the Brexit Deal - Megathread[/U][/B] [B]Background[/B]: On June 23, 2016 the [URL='https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2016_United_Kingdom_European_Union_membership_referendum']UK voted to leave the EU[/URL] ('Brexit'). Following the vote, British Prime Minister [URL='https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/David_Cameron']David Cameron[/URL], who campaigned in favour of the UK remaining part of the EU, resigned and [URL='https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Theresa_May']Theresa May[/URL], who also was a remainer, followed him as PM. The British government submitted an [URL='https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Withdrawal_from_the_European_Union']Art. 50[/URL] withdrawal notice to the EU on March 29, 2017. Between that date and November 2018, the EU negotiators and the UK worked out a [URL='https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Brexit_negotiations']"Brexit deal"[/URL]. This deal is up for a vote on Tuesday. [B]The vote TODAY:[/B] The vote will take place on Tuesday, January 15th, 7 pm GMT [B] (now 8pm GMT) [/B]in the House of Commons. Theresa May meant to bring this agreement to a vote in early December, but postponed the vote since she knew the deal would not get a majority. [B]Possible outcomes:[/B] [LIST] [*]The Brexit deal passes in parliament: The negotiated Brexit agreement will be accepted, the UK will leave the EU on March 29, 2019. It will be followed by a so-called "transition period" that will last until December 31, 2020. During that time, the UK will remain part of the single market and the customs union and it will be bound by EU legislation while itself can no longer influence EU policy. The transition period is meant to allow for a smooth transition while giving time to legislators and negotiation teams to work out a lot of issues that either have not been agreed on in the brexit deal (both sides deem a future trade agreement between the UK and the EU to be a top priority) or haven't been part of legislative efforts yet (the UK follows EU regulation instead of national law in many areas of life). [*]The Brexit deal fails to reach a majority: The outcome of this scenario is entirely unclear. In terms of political consequences, possible that Theresa May could be replaced as PM in this scenario, although the technicalities are unclear. She could resign, be forced to resign, Labour plans to [URL='https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2019/jan/13/corbyn-promises-no-confidence-motion-against-may-soon']bring on a motion of no confidence[/URL]. It is entirely unclear what the "Brexit consequences" would be. It could lead to the UK leaving the EU on March 29 without any deal or transition period ("Hard Brexit). Another possibility is a second referendum on Brexit. The EU has stated that they are willing to agree to an extension to the leave date, but only under certain conditions (helping the UK government secure support for the deal, potentially a second referendum). The third option is Westminster voting to withdraw from Art. 50, effectively cancelling Brexit, this is rather unlikely however. [/LIST] [B]Live Streams:[/B] [URL='https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/live/46874049'][U][COLOR=#003366]BBC Live Stream[/COLOR][/U][/URL] [URL='https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=65Nt-ByDGEM'][U][COLOR=#003366]UK Parliament Live Stream[/COLOR][/U][/URL] [U][COLOR=#003366][/COLOR][/U] [B][COLOR=#000000]Live Articles:[/COLOR][/B] [U][COLOR=#003366][/COLOR][/U] [URL='https://edition.cnn.com/uk/live-news/brexit-theresa-may-deal-vote-gbr-intl/index.html'][U][COLOR=#003366]CNN[/COLOR][/U][/URL] [URL='https://www.theguardian.com/politics/live/2019/jan/15/brexit-vote-parliament-latest-news-may-corbyn-gove-tells-tories-they-can-improve-outcome-if-mays-deal-passed-politics-live'][U][COLOR=#003366]The Guardian[/COLOR][/U][/URL] [URL='https://www.heraldscotland.com/news/17359360.brexit-vote-live-theresa-may-braced-for-commons-defeat/'][U][COLOR=#003366]The Herald Scotland[/COLOR][/U][/URL] [URL='https://www.nytimes.com/2019/01/15/world/europe/brexit-vote.html'][U][COLOR=#003366]The New York Times[/COLOR][/U][/URL] [URL='https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2019/01/15/brexit-vote-latest-news-parliament-result-deal-theresa-may-commons/'][U][COLOR=#003366]The Telegraph[/COLOR][/U][/URL] [B]Live Articles for Monday, January 15[/B] [URL='https://www.theguardian.com/politics/blog/live/2019/jan/14/brexit-latest-news-theresa-may-speech-liam-fox-claims-no-deal-survivable-as-may-launches-last-minute-bid-to-rescue-her-deal-politics-live'][U][COLOR=#003366]The Guardian: Brexit: Theresa May urges MPs to 'take a second look' at her deal – Politics live[/COLOR][/U][/URL] [U][COLOR=#003366] [URL='https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2019/01/14/brexit-vote-latest-news-theresa-may-set-last-ditch-plea-mps/']The Telegraph: Brexit vote latest news: Theresa May pleads with MPs to 'take a second look' at her deal as Jeremy Corbyn calls for an election[/URL] (soft Paywall)[/COLOR][/U] [COLOR=#000000][B]Background articles:[/B][/COLOR] [URL='https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-politics-46856149'][U][COLOR=#003366]BBC: May says opponents of Brexit deal risk 'letting British people down'[/COLOR][/U][/URL] [URL='https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-politics-46507010'][U][COLOR=#003366]BBC: Possible amendments to PM's Brexit deal[/COLOR][/U][/URL] [URL='https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-politics-46586673'][U][COLOR=#003366]BBC: Theresa May sets January date for MPs' Brexit vote[/COLOR][/U][/URL] [URL='https://www.cnbc.com/2019/01/11/brexit-vote-parliament-set-to-decide-outcome-of-mays-withdrawal-deal.html'][U][COLOR=#003366]CNBC: A crunch Brexit vote is coming that could trigger even more political chaos[/COLOR][/U][/URL] [U][COLOR=#003366] [URL='https://www.ft.com/content/8633d73a-17fa-11e9-9e64-d150b3105d21']Financial Times: How big will Theresa May’s defeat be?[/URL] (Paywall) [/COLOR][/U] [URL='https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2019/jan/14/may-makes-final-case-for-brexit-deal-dont-let-the-people-down'][U][COLOR=#003366]The Guardian: May makes final case for Brexit deal: 'Don't let the people down'[/COLOR][/U][/URL] [URL='https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2019/jan/13/what-does-the-week-ahead-hold-for-the-brexit-debate'][U][COLOR=#003366]The Guardian: What does the week ahead hold for the Brexit debate?[/COLOR][/U][/URL] [URL='https://www.irishtimes.com/news/politics/nobody-can-say-with-confidence-what-way-tuesday-s-brexit-vote-will-go-1.3755094'][U][COLOR=#003366]The Irish Times: Nobody can say with confidence what way Tuesday’s Brexit vote will go[/COLOR][/U][/URL] [/QUOTE]
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The UK Parliament votes on Brexit - Tuesday 15 January 2018 - 7pm
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