Hi everyone!
Welcome to the first commercial news update for August.
Happy reading!
Commercial News Update: 7th August 2019
Topics covered this week are:
1. The London Stock Exchange Group’s Proposed Acquisition of Refinitiv (@ELA)
2. Enduring Hong Kong Protests Begin to Add to Economic Uncertainty (@LJ)
3. Saudi Arabia’s Sovereign Wealth Fund Investing in Babylon Health (@Sara Moon)
4. Managing Interest Rates in Uncertain Times (@Jaysen)
5. GlaxoSmithKline and Pfizer Consumer Health Merger (@Sairah)
6. The Falling Pound (@Alice G)
******************************************************************************************************************************
1. The London Stock Exchange Group’s Proposed Acquisition of Refinitiv @ELA
The Story:
The London Stock Exchange Group (LSEG) confirmed it has agreed on terms to acquire Refinitiv in a US$27 billion all-share transaction.
Refinitiv, which is currently owned by Blackstone and Thomson Reuters, is one of the world’s largest providers of financial markets data and infrastructure.
The deal would make the LSEG – best known for running stock exchanges and clearing derivatives – a leader in market data and analytics, capable of competing with Bloomberg.
Impact on Businesses and Law Firms:
Finance and corporate lawyers would have been involved in structuring the all-share acquisition, which will result in Refinitiv shareholders owning about 37% of the combined group. Voting rights would have also been negotiated – the two current owners of Refinitiv are expected to own around 30% of the total voting right of the LSEG. It remains to be seen whether the proposal is approved by LSEG’s shareholders and competition authorities. Due to the size of the both companies and Refinitiv’s offices in ninety locations around the world, antitrust regulation probes in the EU, UK and US are a strong possibility.
From a strategic perspective, the proposed acquisition exemplifies the way in which financial institutions – like other businesses – seek to adapt to their changing economic landscape. The LSEG has focused on developing the data services branch of its business for several years following the financial crisis: its former executive Mr Rolet spent £4bn on acquiring data and clearing businesses such as Russell Investment in 2014, and last year data services generated 44% of the LSEG’s revenues, while only 22% came from capital markets. The move to acquire Refinitiv can be seen as another manifestation of the LSEG’s efforts to become less dependent on volatile financial markets for its income, relying instead on offering information which market participants (be the index compilers, fund management institution, hedge funds, investment banks, or private investors) will always need.
2. Enduring Hong Kong Protests Begin to Add to Economic Uncertainty @LJ
The Story:
With Hong Kong’s protests now into their third month, the economic implications are becoming increasingly explicit. The demonstrations began in opposition to an extradition bill proposed by Carrie Lam’s government which is thought to put Hong Kong residents under the authority of the mainland Chinese courts, undermining the ‘one country, two systems’ agreement. Excessive force by the Hong Kong police, as well as violence by apparent pro-Beijing men wearing white shirts in Yuen Long, have further provoked demonstrators. There remains “no sign of the movement losing steam”, the FT reports.
Impact on Businesses and Law Firms:
The events in Hong Kong only further add to the more general global economic uncertainty facilitated by the US-China trade war and crisis with Iran. Business activity has reached a decade low in Hong Kong, as professionals in a multitude of sectors began striking this week. This understandably has an impact on potential investment, making transactions and deals less likely. Indeed, many City firms (such as DLA Piper and Clifford Chane) hold invaluable international offices in Hong Kong, with large US firms (such as Mayer Brown and Baker McKenzie) also already noticing potential concerns. Consequently, corporate lawyers will feel this economic impact, with clients less incentivised to hire expensive City law firms, both domestically and internationally.
We should also not forget the severe impact that this can have on China itself. China utilizes Hong Kong through its stock market as an economic gateway to the Western world. While China’s respective economic growth has meant it relies on Hong Kong less, this capacity remains significant, and it will be keen to control this uncertainty from perpetuating further. Many analysts have pointed to China’s legal capability to deploy the PLA, but China will want to avoid this if possible. As Hong Kong’s growth was already under 1% before the protests, the future looks concerning for both its own economy and the many parties connected to it.
3. Saudi Arabia’s Sovereign Wealth Fund Investing in Babylon Health @Sara Moon
The Story:
Last week, it was announced that Saudi Arabia’s sovereign wealth fund, the Public Investment Fund (PIF), is investing $550 million in the health start-up Babylon Health. Babylon Health is a UK based start-up that developed a chatbot that checks the symptoms of patients and provides a remote consultation service with doctors via text and video messaging. Its chatbot is currently being used by the National Health Service. The investment will be used to expand Babylon’s business to the US, Middle East and Asia.
Impact on Businesses and Law Firms:
Saudi Arabia’s investment is part of its ambitious Vision 2030, which is a strategic blueprint that aims to diversify the Saudi’s economy so that it could become less reliant on oil. The Public Investment Fund is the main vehicle through which Vision 2030 is to be realised and Saudi aims to invest a quarter of its assets overseas by next year, and half by 2030. It has been making several tech bets so far, most notably $45bn in SoftBank’s technology fund.
From the British perspective, this investment will help it to create a stronger economic relationship with Saudi Arabia and strengthen the partnership established between the two countries last year. In 2018, the two countries agreed a £65 billion mutual trade and investment deal and promised to share expertise and support in various sectors including education, health care and entertainment. This kind of partnership comes amid Brexit uncertainties, which may force the UK to create new trade relationships with other countries.
Saudi’s Vision 2030 and the UK’s Brexit means that it is highly likely that transactions between the two countries will increase significantly in the coming years. This could come in various forms, including direct investments, partnerships between companies and M&A deals. This means that there will be a flow of deals that law firms could work on, and law firms with a presence in the Middle East or with strong Middle Eastern teams will particularly benefit from this.
Welcome to the first commercial news update for August.
Happy reading!
Commercial News Update: 7th August 2019
Topics covered this week are:
1. The London Stock Exchange Group’s Proposed Acquisition of Refinitiv (@ELA)
2. Enduring Hong Kong Protests Begin to Add to Economic Uncertainty (@LJ)
3. Saudi Arabia’s Sovereign Wealth Fund Investing in Babylon Health (@Sara Moon)
4. Managing Interest Rates in Uncertain Times (@Jaysen)
5. GlaxoSmithKline and Pfizer Consumer Health Merger (@Sairah)
6. The Falling Pound (@Alice G)
******************************************************************************************************************************
1. The London Stock Exchange Group’s Proposed Acquisition of Refinitiv @ELA
The Story:
The London Stock Exchange Group (LSEG) confirmed it has agreed on terms to acquire Refinitiv in a US$27 billion all-share transaction.
Refinitiv, which is currently owned by Blackstone and Thomson Reuters, is one of the world’s largest providers of financial markets data and infrastructure.
The deal would make the LSEG – best known for running stock exchanges and clearing derivatives – a leader in market data and analytics, capable of competing with Bloomberg.
Impact on Businesses and Law Firms:
Finance and corporate lawyers would have been involved in structuring the all-share acquisition, which will result in Refinitiv shareholders owning about 37% of the combined group. Voting rights would have also been negotiated – the two current owners of Refinitiv are expected to own around 30% of the total voting right of the LSEG. It remains to be seen whether the proposal is approved by LSEG’s shareholders and competition authorities. Due to the size of the both companies and Refinitiv’s offices in ninety locations around the world, antitrust regulation probes in the EU, UK and US are a strong possibility.
From a strategic perspective, the proposed acquisition exemplifies the way in which financial institutions – like other businesses – seek to adapt to their changing economic landscape. The LSEG has focused on developing the data services branch of its business for several years following the financial crisis: its former executive Mr Rolet spent £4bn on acquiring data and clearing businesses such as Russell Investment in 2014, and last year data services generated 44% of the LSEG’s revenues, while only 22% came from capital markets. The move to acquire Refinitiv can be seen as another manifestation of the LSEG’s efforts to become less dependent on volatile financial markets for its income, relying instead on offering information which market participants (be the index compilers, fund management institution, hedge funds, investment banks, or private investors) will always need.
2. Enduring Hong Kong Protests Begin to Add to Economic Uncertainty @LJ
The Story:
With Hong Kong’s protests now into their third month, the economic implications are becoming increasingly explicit. The demonstrations began in opposition to an extradition bill proposed by Carrie Lam’s government which is thought to put Hong Kong residents under the authority of the mainland Chinese courts, undermining the ‘one country, two systems’ agreement. Excessive force by the Hong Kong police, as well as violence by apparent pro-Beijing men wearing white shirts in Yuen Long, have further provoked demonstrators. There remains “no sign of the movement losing steam”, the FT reports.
Impact on Businesses and Law Firms:
The events in Hong Kong only further add to the more general global economic uncertainty facilitated by the US-China trade war and crisis with Iran. Business activity has reached a decade low in Hong Kong, as professionals in a multitude of sectors began striking this week. This understandably has an impact on potential investment, making transactions and deals less likely. Indeed, many City firms (such as DLA Piper and Clifford Chane) hold invaluable international offices in Hong Kong, with large US firms (such as Mayer Brown and Baker McKenzie) also already noticing potential concerns. Consequently, corporate lawyers will feel this economic impact, with clients less incentivised to hire expensive City law firms, both domestically and internationally.
We should also not forget the severe impact that this can have on China itself. China utilizes Hong Kong through its stock market as an economic gateway to the Western world. While China’s respective economic growth has meant it relies on Hong Kong less, this capacity remains significant, and it will be keen to control this uncertainty from perpetuating further. Many analysts have pointed to China’s legal capability to deploy the PLA, but China will want to avoid this if possible. As Hong Kong’s growth was already under 1% before the protests, the future looks concerning for both its own economy and the many parties connected to it.
3. Saudi Arabia’s Sovereign Wealth Fund Investing in Babylon Health @Sara Moon
The Story:
Last week, it was announced that Saudi Arabia’s sovereign wealth fund, the Public Investment Fund (PIF), is investing $550 million in the health start-up Babylon Health. Babylon Health is a UK based start-up that developed a chatbot that checks the symptoms of patients and provides a remote consultation service with doctors via text and video messaging. Its chatbot is currently being used by the National Health Service. The investment will be used to expand Babylon’s business to the US, Middle East and Asia.
Impact on Businesses and Law Firms:
Saudi Arabia’s investment is part of its ambitious Vision 2030, which is a strategic blueprint that aims to diversify the Saudi’s economy so that it could become less reliant on oil. The Public Investment Fund is the main vehicle through which Vision 2030 is to be realised and Saudi aims to invest a quarter of its assets overseas by next year, and half by 2030. It has been making several tech bets so far, most notably $45bn in SoftBank’s technology fund.
From the British perspective, this investment will help it to create a stronger economic relationship with Saudi Arabia and strengthen the partnership established between the two countries last year. In 2018, the two countries agreed a £65 billion mutual trade and investment deal and promised to share expertise and support in various sectors including education, health care and entertainment. This kind of partnership comes amid Brexit uncertainties, which may force the UK to create new trade relationships with other countries.
Saudi’s Vision 2030 and the UK’s Brexit means that it is highly likely that transactions between the two countries will increase significantly in the coming years. This could come in various forms, including direct investments, partnerships between companies and M&A deals. This means that there will be a flow of deals that law firms could work on, and law firms with a presence in the Middle East or with strong Middle Eastern teams will particularly benefit from this.